BFBaselineForecasts
ATP forecasts and tournament outlooks

Baseline Forecasts

Player ratings, upcoming match probabilities, and draw forecasts for ATP tournaments.

View match forecastsView tournament forecasts
Players rated
500
Current ATP rating file
Upcoming matches
32
Forecasts available
Tournament draws
2
Released draws simulated
Per-draw simulations
10,000
Static precomputed forecasts

Current Top Ratings

Full table
Jannik Sinner
Quality rank 1 - raw model rank 1 - ATP rank 1 - ITA
2295
+60
Carlos Alcaraz
Quality rank 2 - raw model rank 2 - ATP rank 2 - ESP
2183
+48
Novak Djokovic
Quality rank 3 - raw model rank 4 - ATP rank 4 - SRB
2034
+34
Alexander Zverev
Quality rank 4 - raw model rank 6 - ATP rank 3 - DEU
1967
+27
Arthur Fils
Quality rank 5 - raw model rank 9 - ATP rank 19 - FRA
1927
+24
Daniil Medvedev
Quality rank 6 - raw model rank 10 - ATP rank 7 - RUS
1914
+22

Roland Garros Title Forecast

10,000 precomputed simulations.

All tournaments
1
Jannik Sinner
Rank 1
75.8%
Pr winner
1.32
Odds
2
Alexander Zverev
Rank 3
9.7%
Pr winner
10.27
Odds
3
Novak Djokovic
Rank 4
9.4%
Pr winner
10.64
Odds
4
Casper Ruud
Rank 17
0.9%
Pr winner
105.26
Odds
5
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Rank 5
0.5%
Pr winner
200.00
Odds
6
Rafael Jodar
Rank 29
0.5%
Pr winner
212.77
Odds

Upcoming Match Predictions

Winner probabilities include implied decimal odds as 1 / probability.

DateupTournamentRoundSurfaceMatchPr FavOdds ModeBO5 Odds FavFavouriteBO5 Odds Non-FavBest of
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR2ClayJannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo99.1%BO5 adjusted1.01Jannik Sinner111.115
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR2ClayMartin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva67.4%BO5 adjusted1.48Vit Kopriva3.075
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR2ClayArthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini58.1%BO5 adjusted1.72Matteo Berrettini2.395
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR2ClayFrancisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi87.0%BO5 adjusted1.15Luciano Darderi7.695
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR2ClayJan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria57.6%BO5 adjusted1.74Jaime Faria2.365